NAME
r.futures.calib - Module for calibrating patch characteristics used as input to r.futures.pga
KEYWORDS
raster,
patch
SYNOPSIS
r.futures.calib
r.futures.calib --help
r.futures.calib [-l] development_start=name development_end=name [repeat=integer] [compactness_mean=float[,float,...]] [compactness_range=float[,float,...]] [discount_factor=float[,float,...]] patch_threshold=float patch_sizes=name [calibration_results=name] nprocs=integer [development_pressure=name] [incentive_power=float] [constrain_weight=name] [predictors=name[,name,...]] [n_dev_neighbourhood=integer] [devpot_params=name[,name,...]] [num_neighbors=integer] [seed_search=integer] [development_pressure_approach=string] [gamma=float] [scaling_factor=float] [num_steps=integer] subregions=name [demand=name] [--overwrite] [--help] [--verbose] [--quiet] [--ui]
Flags:
- -l
- Only create patch size distribution file
- --overwrite
- Allow output files to overwrite existing files
- --help
- Print usage summary
- --verbose
- Verbose module output
- --quiet
- Quiet module output
- --ui
- Force launching GUI dialog
Parameters:
- development_start=name [required]
- Name of input binary raster map representing development in the beginning
- Raster map of developed areas (=1), undeveloped (=0) and excluded (no data)
- development_end=name [required]
- Name of input binary raster map representing development in the end
- Raster map of developed areas (=1), undeveloped (=0) and excluded (no data)
- repeat=integer
- How many times is the simulation repeated
- compactness_mean=float[,float,...]
- Patch compactness mean to be tested
- compactness_range=float[,float,...]
- Patch compactness range to be tested
- discount_factor=float[,float,...]
- Patch size discount factor
- patch_threshold=float [required]
- Minimum size of a patch in meters squared
- Default: 0
- patch_sizes=name [required]
- Output file with patch sizes
- calibration_results=name
- Output file with calibration results
- nprocs=integer [required]
- Number of parallel processes
- Default: 1
- development_pressure=name
- Raster map of development pressure
- incentive_power=float
- Exponent to transform probability values p to p^x to simulate infill vs. sprawl
- Values > 1 encourage infill, < 1 urban sprawl
- Options: 0-10
- Default: 1
- constrain_weight=name
- Name of raster map representing development potential constraint weight for scenarios
- Values must be between 0 and 1, 1 means no constraint
- predictors=name[,name,...]
- Names of predictor variable raster maps
- n_dev_neighbourhood=integer
- Size of square used to recalculate development pressure
- devpot_params=name[,name,...]
- Development potential parameters for each region
- Each line should contain region ID followed by parameters. Values are separated by whitespace (spaces or tabs). First line is ignored, so it can be used for header
- num_neighbors=integer
- The number of neighbors to be used for patch generation (4 or 8)
- Options: 4, 8
- seed_search=integer
- The way location of a seed is determined (1: uniform distribution 2: development probability)
- Options: 1, 2
- development_pressure_approach=string
- Approaches to derive development pressure
- Options: occurrence, gravity, kernel
- gamma=float
- Influence of distance between neighboring cells
- scaling_factor=float
- Scaling factor of development pressure
- num_steps=integer
- Number of steps to be simulated
- subregions=name [required]
- Raster map of subregions with categories starting with 1
- demand=name
- Control file with number of cells to convert
Module
r.futures.calibration is part of
FUTURES,
land change model.
It is used for calibrating certain input variables for patch growing
algorithm
r.futures.pga, specifically patch size and compactness parameters.
The calibration process is conducted to match observed urban growth patterns
to those simulated by the model, including the sizes and shapes of new development.
The calibration is achieved by varying the values of the patch parameters,
comparing the distribution of simulated patch sizes to those observed
for the reference period, and choosing the values that provide the closest match.
For the details about calibration see below.
As part of the calibration process, module
r.futures.calibration
produces patch size distribution file specified in
patch_sizes parameter,
which contains sizes (in cells) of all new patches observed
in the reference period. The format of this file is one patch size per line.
FUTURES uses this file to determine the size of the simulated patches.
Often the length of the reference time period does not match
the time period which we are trying to simulate.
We use the
discount factor to alter the size of simulated patches
so that after the reference period they closely match the observed patterns.
During the simulation, this factor is multiplied by the patch sizes listed in the patch size file.
The values of
discount factor can vary between 0 and 1,
for example value 0.6 was used by Meentemeyer et al. 2013.
The shapes of patches simulated by FUTURES are governed
by the patch compactness parameter (Meentemeyer et al. 2013, Eq. 1).
This variable doesn't represent actual patch compactness, it is rather
an adjustable scaling factor that controls patch compactness
through a distance decay effect.
By specifying the mean and range of this parameter in module
r.futures.pga, we allow for variation in patch shape.
As the value of the parameter increases, patches become more compact.
Calibration is achieved by varying the values specified in
compactness_mean
and
compactness_range and comparing the distribution
of the simulated patch compactness (computed as
patch perimeter / (2 * sqrt(pi * area)))
to those observed for the reference period.
Meentemeyer et al. 2013 used mean 0.4 and range 0.08.
Calibration requires the development binary raster in the beginning
and end of the reference period (
development_start and
development_end)
to derive the patch sizes and compactness.
It is possible to set the minimum number of cells of a patch in
patch_threshold
to ignore too small patches.
For each combination of values provided in
compactness_mean,
compactness_range and
discount_factor, it runs
module
r.futures.pga which creates new development pattern.
From this new simulated development, patch characteristics are derived
and compared with the observed characteristics by histogram comparison
and an error (histogram distance) is computed.
Since
r.futures.pga is a stochastic module, multiple
runs (specified in
repeat) are recommended, the error is then averaged.
Calibration results are saved in a CSV file specified in
calibration_results:
input_discount_factor,area_distance,input_compactness_mean,input_compactness_range,compactness_distance
0.1,1.01541178435,0.1,0.02,3.00000005937
0.2,1.26578803108,0.1,0.02,4.12442780529
0.3,1.17631210026,0.1,0.02,3.86904462396
0.4,2.31700278644,0.1,0.02,15.0569602795
0.5,1.08655152036,0.1,0.02,3.72484862687
0.6,2.97628078734,0.1,0.02,21.6358616001
0.7,3.61632549044,0.1,0.02,25.4492265706
0.8,2.72789958233,0.1,0.02,18.1083820007
0.9,2.45915297845,0.1,0.02,18.4500322711
0.1,1.05473877995,0.1,0.04,3.09321560218
...
Optimal values can be found by visual examination of the second and fifth columns.
Providing too many values in compactness_mean,
compactness_range and discount_factor results in very long computation.
Therefore it is recommended to run r.futures.calibration
on high-end computers, with more processes running in parallel using nprocs parameter.
Also, it can be run on smaller region, under the assumption
that patch sizes and shapes are close to being consistent across the entire study area.
For all other parameters not mentioned above, please refer to
r.futures.pga documentation.
FUTURES,
r.futures.pga,
r.futures.devpressure,
r.futures.demand,
r.futures.potential,
r.sample.category
-
Meentemeyer, R. K., Tang, W., Dorning, M. A., Vogler, J. B., Cunniffe, N. J., & Shoemaker, D. A. (2013).
FUTURES: Multilevel Simulations of Emerging
Urban-Rural Landscape Structure Using a Stochastic Patch-Growing Algorithm.
Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 103(4), 785-807.
- Dorning, M. A., Koch, J., Shoemaker, D. A., & Meentemeyer, R. K. (2015).
Simulating urbanization scenarios reveals
tradeoffs between conservation planning strategies.
Landscape and Urban Planning, 136, 28-39.
Anna Petrasova,
NCSU OSGeoREL
Last changed: $Date: 2017-07-31 19:51:01 +0200 (Mon, 31 Jul 2017) $
SOURCE CODE
Available at: r.futures.calib source code (history)
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